BMG Research interviewed a representative sample of 2,091 GB adults online between 16 and 18 August. This represents a five-point jump for Labour when compared to polling carried out by the channel last week, and no movement at all for the Conservatives, who remain on 21% of the vote. Sir Keir Starmer's decision to make Sue Gray his chief of staff proves he is a "man of the establishment" and will harm Labour's chances of winning the Red Wall, a former Conservative party chairman has claimed Sir Jake Berry said the appointment underlined that the Labour leader would run a . But it remains to be seen whether the announcement of a deal with the European Union over the Northern Ireland Protocol will lead to a reversal in the Governments polling fortunes. UK opposition leader Keir Starmer will pledge that a Labour government would boost public purchases of local food as he seeks to appeal to country's embattled farmers. A YouGov poll carried out this week showed 45% of the public were against the RMT strike, with 37% in favour. Rishi Sunak branded Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer 'Mr 2nd Referendum' as he told the 1922 Committee of backbench Tories that the public are sick of Brexit 'drama'. The Labour leaders promises to team up with business may unsettle some on the left of his party, who are already worried about Starmers increasingly cosy relationship with the City. Starmer holds an approval rating of -6, unchanged from two weeks ago. More than six in ten (61%) of Rishi Sunaks voters support the measure, as do 57% of Labour voters, suggesting this policy will land well in the country as a whole. Levys return to the fold has also provided a big boost to Labours fundraising clout. An Opinium poll sees the Labour leader struggling to make headway against a PM whose handling of the pandemic has gained approval. Data are weighted. And, in a further nod to the business-friendly New Labour days of the 1990s and 2000s, hes even tapping Tony Blairs moneymen to fund his bid for power. The king played his symbolic role. Sir Keir's office declined to comment, saying it did not offer 'running commentaries' on opinion polls. LONDON Keir Starmer is reportedly considering hiring Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated pandemic rule-busting parties in Boris Johnson's government, as his chief of staff. Starmers reluctance to criticise Big Business or show solidarity with workers has shifted political ground in the UK even further to the right. The battered economy, on which Starmer focused almost all his questions to Sunak in the Commons yesterday, remains far and away the central battleground of electoral politics for the foreseeable future. Why wont anyone tell me anything?. Although his approval rating in the Blue Wall fell two points in February to now stand at +6%, his rating in both the Red Wall (+14%) and GB (+13%) are up by six and four points respectively. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICOs editors and guest writers on the continent. Of course, the Conservative Party will take evasive action, up to and including changing leader, before the next election, but we can now see that Labours doom and gloom about Starmers anti-charisma and Johnsons Teflon qualities were overdone. Labour extended its lead nationally to 27%, the widest margin it has held since Sunak became PM in October, while also opening up a lead of 28% in the Red Wall (another record lead . In GB as a whole, the Governments net approval rating for its handling of these three issues now sits at -35% (down four points from late January), -49% (-7), and -39% (-3) respectively. Each pollster uses the following wording for this question: Some pollsters conduct surveys to compare figures who are not both party leaders. Opinion Rishi Sunak. Rishi Sunak is shaping up to be a prime minister Keir Starmer should be wary of. Collapse. Starmer has transplanted many of Blairs favorite donor point-people into his close circle to build a powerhouse fundraising team. His team say Starmers main task has been repairing the partys internal workings after the strife during Jeremy Corbyns leadership. Voices Keir Starmer can afford to be polite to Liz Truss for one key reason - he knows he is winning. 2. Having endured a torrid few months, Rishi Sunak is at least ending February on a personal high. "However, at least then Labour could console itself that their leader was new and making a positive impression. He is very much, here is the problem and this is the solution. LONDON Keir Starmer wants big business to "mold" Labour's election plans and get its "fingerprints" on his policy agenda. Keir Starmer is set to appoint Sue Gray, the senior civil servant who investigated the partygate scandal, as his chief of staff.. Gray, who has a fearsome reputation for probing ministerial misbehaviour and ethics concerns, has left her role as head of the Union and Constitution Directorate at the Cabinet Office and is soon expected to join Starmer's team. Inflation, higher interest rates, energy price hikes and strikes ensured a grim winter. Labours leads range from a yawning 31-point gap in our GB poll on the NHS (that lead representing a one-point gain from late January) to a relatively narrow four-point lead over the Conservatives in the Blue Wall as the party most trusted to manage the economy (32% to 28%, down from a 35% to 25% lead in our last Blue Wall Poll of January). The fact weve climbed out of the hole we were in was never a given. Speaking alongside Blair-era Minister Peter Mandelson at a business roundtable in late January, Starmer said he wanted to extract as much as I can from you, have a really grown-up conversation, and also for you to see that it is possible to mold, have your fingerprints on what were doing, two people presenttold POLITICO. Although his net approval fell to -22% nationally on 18 February, his lowest ever, he ends the month having gained a marginal point from his January rating in both the Red Wall and in Great Britain (up to -17% in both). The job of being Leader of the Opposition is, famously, the most thankless available in British politics. In many ways this looks rather like 1996 with Blair and Brown promising Tory-like spending controls and picking fights with the left of the party. Sir Keir Starmer - Labour Party Leader. Its much less normalized compared to the U.S. and there are much bigger negatives to it in the U.K. aside from the pragmatic arguments. March 2, 2023. in News. What it shows is that these guys think Keir is going to win. Starmer himself remained grimly determined, with only one outburst of temper or, at least, only one that was reported to the outside world, and that was after a delay of many months, suggesting that the inner team remained loyal throughout. A source in the leaders office told me that, with Keir, the Labour Party has the strongest message discipline weve had in years. This is especially true for Labour voters, more than half of whom blame Truss (44%) or Sunak (10%) for the current crisis while only 11% blame global events. Starmer clearly believes very firmly in the corrupt FPTP system as . Johnson was comprehensively outmanoeuvred. oes Rishi Sunak deserve some kind of apology? Starmer is ahead in best PM polling. Time. Starmers popularity has actually fallen back slightly, with a net of -6, compared with a neutral satisfaction score in June this year. Back in June, his spokesperson said: Weve been clear in the position that the strikes shouldnt go ahead. Latest UK Opinion Polls: Government approval recent changes. Ursula von der Leyen, the European commission president, was well briefed. After languishing stubbornly behind the government in surveys since his election to head Labour in early 2020, Starmer is now reported to have a seven-point lead over the Tories new leader, Liz Truss, when the public is asked who would do a better job as prime minister. One month ago he was on -3 in the equivalent BMG poll and in June the number of people who were satisfied was the same as those dissatisfied. The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Eye. Plaid Cymru call on Mark Drakeford to sack health minister after damning health board report, Sir Keir Starmer defends appointing partygate investigator Sue Gray as chief of staff, Johnson allies claim partygate was 'a Labour stitch up' after Starmer appoints Sue Gray to top role. New polling, conducted by Ipsos between 3rd-5th February, shows the public are more likely to apply several leadership traits to Keir Starmer than Rishi Sunak. Approval for the government's handling of the pandemic is at its highest since mid-April last year, with 47% of adults happy and 33% disapproving. Yet Keir Starmer's 'mission statement' last week managed something that nearly all speeches from those in his job - including most of his own - fail to achieve: broadly favourable and widespread coverage of his core message that Labour is a government . Keir Starmer. Through his public positioning, he has legitimised the rights discourse that left-wing politics is inherently subversive, unpatriotic and treasonous. No Tory leader can simply declare the convulsions of the past seven years over, or announce that from now on, they will be competent and consensual. Sorting the protocol was a sensible bit of ground-clearing and confidence-building. Rishi Sunak during prime ministers questions on Wednesday. All rights reserved. The Tories have remained persistently behind Labour throughout the summer and currently stand on 32 per cent of the vote with Labour on 42 per cent, according to BMG. Labour leader Keir Starmer addresses the annual Labour Party conference in Brighton, England, on 9 September 2021 (AFP) Keir Starmer's wait-it-out approach may finally be . He has lots of experience. For many, he is also indelibly linked to other New Labour cash scandals, including a rowover a watered-down advertising banfor Formula 1 just after F1 boss Bernie Ecclestone gave millions to the party. Angela Rayner, the Labour deputy leader, also suggested that Starmer looks too much like a lawyer in public appearances and should put some more welly into his speeches. Adam Drummond, Opinium's head of political polling, said: "Keir Starmer's ratings have taken a tumble as Labour voters begin to fear that he isn't the one to lead the party back to power. How the PM could block sleaze watchdog's advice on Gray hire and if Labour will ignore him, Opinion | Boris Johnsons 'jobs for Tory cronies' legacy is still alive and kicking, Tory MPs furious at Starmer hiring Sue Gray as Rees-Mogg calls her report 'left-wing stitch-up', publics view of the the Labour leader himself appears to be becoming more negative, Keir Starmer will have been hoping for a polling bounce following his big announcement on freezing energy bills, 'How bad are the pics? Too soon for that. ', asks Mark Dolan. Starmer has differentiated Labour simply by eschewing the more indefensible forms of predatory capitalism the current Conservative leadership embraces. The Labour leader said he is glad the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) is taking time to consider . But the publics view of the the Labour leader himself appears to be becoming more negative, following weeks in which he has been accused of failing to be more forceful on the cost of living. It is something Blair spoke about a lot, not having the first idea what he was doing when he got through the door. The DUP was not allowed to hijack the launch and mobilise the European Research Group. Ipsos publishes the latest results of UK opinion polls and voting intention. Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs, according to the latest Observer poll. Labours biggest donor, Unite, has reduced its contributions to fund grassroots initiatives Starmers Labour has abandoned. Recent polls also suggest the party has a clear double-digit lead in the 23 June byelection in Wakefield, the type of seat it will need to win back if it hopes to win a majority or form the government at the next election. Like the Tories, Starmer sees the economy in terms of a battle between the incompatible demands of employers - the state and big business - on one side, and workers on the other. 2023 Boris Johnson has been greedily eyeing a return. Opinion polls show Labour with an average 8% lead over the Conservatives. Despite the prime ministers problems, from the fall of Kabul to the defence of Owen Paterson, the myth of his personal invincibility seemed to persist. Voiced by artificial intelligence. In-depth reporting, data and actionable intelligence for policy professionals all in one place. Prince Harry set to lose crucial royal role as bitter feud could se 'Whats up with government by WhatsApp? One member of Labours National Executive Committee (NEC), the partys ruling body, said Alli is a high net worth individual himself which will make quite a difference when he needs to tap people up to say Im giving money, you need to as well.'. On the proposal to reduce the threshold at which people pay the highest rate of tax from 150,000 to 125,140, the poll found that 50% of adults support this measure while 13% are opposed. Latest news, analysis and comment from POLITICOs editors and guest writers in Europe. The head of the opposition has resolutely avoided offering any kind of vision for Britain, fearful it might be construed as vaguely socialist, and has even been averse to robustly challenging the ruling Tory party. Boris Johnson makes a better prime minister than Keir Starmer would despite Partygate, the cost of living crisis and the confidence vote in Johnson held by his MPs, according to the latest Observer poll.. In his party conference speech in which Corbyn supporters were reduced to impotent heckling Starmer derided Johnson as a trivial politician; in the Commons, Starmer repeated the line the joke is wearing thin. Instead, she has frozen record high fuel bills, but it is taxpayers, not business, who will face the burden of repaying the 150bn ($170bn) costs further down the road. Perhaps Sunak should not be too readily dismissed as a caretaker who is seeing out time until Keir Starmer takes over. He has not dared to seize the initiative as workers pay falls well behind rocketing inflation. Truss is hampered by being deeply uncharismatic - possibly even more so than Starmer, and in stark contrast to her immediate predecessor, Boris Johnson. Opinion comes closest regarding having a lot of . X. Approval in the Blue Wall is no better, with the Governments approval on immigration down by one point to -44%, although it has improved its rating on the economy (-33%, +5), and the NHS (-49%, +2) since January. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Rishi Sunak, leader of the Conservative Party since 24 October 2022 and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom since 25 October 2022. But theres no sense of what the wider project is.. Overall, more than half the country, 54%, say they do not know who to back on the economy or would rather not say. Updated on 2 March 2023 at 8:00. All rights reserved. "Any opposition would be struggling against a government riding the success of the vaccine rollout and the last time the government's approval figures for the pandemic were this positive the Conservatives held a 17 point lead. He has banned Labours front bench from joining picket lines, an edict that has been defied by several of them and looked all the more risible as even barristers have begun taking industrial action. The protocol deal has not yet been approved. When asked who is best to manage the economy in the years ahead, 30% say a Labour government with Sir Keir Starmer as Prime Minister. Log in to access content and manage your profile. The leader of the Labour Party Keir Starmer says that under the current rate, the average British family will be poorer than the average Polish family by 2030Parliament TV 2023. Some of the more detailed polling questions, which have given Johnson the benefit of the doubt all year, have also turned. Politics. March 2, 2023 10:16 am CET. He seems to have taken as his starting point an assumption - shared by the establishment media - that the antagonism engineered by the Thatcher government through the 1980s towards trade unions and industrial action still holds 40 years later. Sunaks handling of the NI protocol suggests a leader and a Tory party with more left in the tank than some think. Polls indicate the Tories still lag behind Labour in national opinion . Middle East Eye. Want to bookmark your favourite articles and stories to read or reference later? . And in refusing to countenance any dissent from within Labour, or entertain any meaningful pluralism in its ranks - starkly illustrated by his approaches both to support for Nato and the monarchy - he has echoed not only the rights agenda but its authoritarian instinctstoo. but more one-sided than a North Korean election held at gunpoint. But his handling of the Northern Ireland protocol changes this week suggests a leader with more in the tank than critics have allowed. Labour holds a 10-point lead over the Conservatives as Liz Truss and Rishi Sunak attack each other in public but Sir Keir Starmers personal ratings have gone backwards. It also reveals that Starmers party holds a narrow two-point lead, compared with a three-point lead in the last poll a fortnight ago. The politics of selling it was always going to be a much tougher task. The Lib Dems are on 13% with the Greens on 6%. To find out more information about this research, As Sunak Heralds Protocol Deal, Majority of British Voters Remain Indifferent to Northern Ireland, Plurality of Britons Support Teachers Going on Strike, Latest Blue Wall Voting Intention (26 February 2023), Latest GB Voting Intention (26 February 2023), Britons and Americans Have Similar Views on Recent Chinese Spy Balloon Controversy, Britons Support Governments Ukraine Policy, But More Urgency on Domestic Challenges Needed, the announcement of a deal with the European Union, Sunak and Starmer Monthly Polling Report Card (February 2023), Joe Biden Administration Approval Ratings and Hypothetical Voting Intention (19 February 2023), Latest Red Wall Voting Intention (19 February 2023), Latest GB Voting Intention (18 February 2023), Peter Obi Leads Decisively in Nigeria Polling, Latest Blue Wall Voting Intention (11-12 February 2023). The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Keir Starmer, leader of the Labour Party and Leader of the Opposition since April 2020. The following polls asked about voters' opinions on Boris Johnson, leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister of the United Kingdom from 24 July 2019 to 6 September 2022. It was an attempt to turn Starmers weaknesses into strengths. SIR Keir Starmer has seen his ranking plunge in the polls after a terrible fortnight of bungles. "The Labour leader has taken a significant fall across all metrics in the last two weeks, particularly being a strong leader, looking like a prime minister in waiting, and being able to get things done. The man who would be Prime Minister addressed St. Columb's politics students and students from the . A senior Labour source said: We know what needs to be done between now and the next election and are ticking everything off on the list. Asked if they wanted their home to remain British, Falkland Islanders said Yes by 99.8 per cent . A poll released on the Monday of conference put Labour 17 points . These are people that dont have to be spending their time and money doing this, a Labour shadow Cabinet minister said. The Leader of the Opposition leads by ten points or more on being in touch with ordinary people (39% to 20%), they understand the problems facing Britain (50% to 37%), they are an . When politics resumes next week, the Labour leader will have a (courteous) spring in his step R&WS Research Team. The Labour leader is rated better on dealing with the cost of living than both Rishi Sunak and Liz Truss. To me, Starmer is hyper-competent as a manager and organiser. He is not. Starmers Labour increasingly looks like a pale replica of the modern Conservative Party, which publicly extols the virtues of unfettered markets while privately skewing the economic battle-space in big businesss favour - a covert socialism, but for the rich only. Keir Starmer was rewarded for his "strategic patience", according to an ally, when . Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged inPlease refresh your browser to be logged in, The opinion polls have turned in the Labour leaders favour vindicating his strategic patience, Find your bookmarks in your Independent Premium section, under my profile. Truss and her party have dealt him the easiest of hands, even if he continues to play it as cautiously as possible. Starmer may scrape a win at the next general election, against an internally divided Conservative governing party only too obviously divorced from the concerns of much of the electorate.

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